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Stagniranje Hrvata u Bosni PDF Ispis

Na kraju 2015. godine u BiH je bilo 14.559 manje nego 2014.!

Prema procjeni Agencije za statistiku BiH, 2012. godine u BiH je bilo 3,836.000 stanovnika, a prema preliminarnim rezultatima popisa stanovnitva, koje je objavila ista Agencija, u BiH su 2013. godine popisane 3,791.622 osobe, ali slubeni rezultati toga popisa nisu objavljeni do sada iako je prolo vie od dvije godine otkako je obavljen.

Prema procjeni Agencije za statistiku BiH, 2012. godine u BiH je bilo 3,836.000 stanovnika, a prema preliminarnim rezultatima popisa stanovnitva, koje je objavila ista Agencija, u BiH su 2013. godine popisane 3,791.622 osobe, ali slubeni rezultati toga popisa nisu objavljeni do sada iako je prolo vie od dvije godine otkako je obavljen.

Pie:don Tomo Vuki?, Ve?ernji list

Prema slubenim podacima Agencije za statistiku, koji obuhva?aju sveukupno stanovnitvo BiH od 1996. do 2014. godine, cijelu BiH je zahvatio proces depopulacije, pove?anja prosjeka starosti stanovnitva, proces vrlo ubrzanog smanjenja broja ro?enih i proces pove?anja broja umrlih, bez obzira na etni?ku i vjersku pripadnost.

Stagniranje Hrvata

Tako je na razini cjelokupnoga stanovnitva BiH 1996. godine imala pozitivan prirast za ?ak 21.442, dok je 2007. godine prvi put imala negativan prirast koji je iznosio -1209, a 2014. godine dosegao je -5712. Ove procese, me?utim, treba promatrati tako?er u okviru sli?nih doga?anja koja poga?aju skoro sve europske zemlje.

Prema zbirnim podacima Biskupskih ordinarijata, katolici u BiH jo od 2002. godine u kontinuitetu imaju negativan prirast, no on je u stalnom opadanju ve? od 1996. godine kada je bio pozitivan za 1467. Prema istim izvorima, koji su prikupljeni od svih upnih ureda na podru?ju pojedinih biskupija, procjenjuje se kako je na kraju 2015. godine u BiH bilo 405.735 katolika, to bi bilo za 14.559 manje negoli prethodne 2014. godine, a prirodni prirast katolika 2015. godine bio je -2449.

Taj rezultat je odnos broja krtenja i pokopa u pojedinim biskupijama za 2015. godinu: Banja Luka -350, Sarajevo -2009, Trebinje -101 i Mostar +11. A samo usporedbe radi, 1996. godine Banja Luka je bila na -4, Sarajevo na +247, Trebinje na +96, a Mostar na +1128.

Osnovni razlozi demografskoga stagniranja Hrvata u BiH su ratni progon i iseljavanje, neuspio povratak prognanika i raseljenih, nerijeeno pitanje unutarnjeg ure?enja BiH (politi?ko i nacionalno pitanje), visok postotak nezaposlenosti, vrlo negativan prirodni prirast Hrvata koji su ostali u BiH i novo iseljavanje.

U traenju mogu?eg rjeenja problema moralo bi se voditi ra?una o mnogo elemenata. Prije svega, pitanje povratka raseljenih i prognanih sve vie izgleda, naalost, pitanje prolosti. Ne treba ga nikada zaboraviti ali, i tamo gdje bi mogao, povratak se ne doga?a. Stoga je od sudbinske vanosti stavljanje snanoga naglaska na zaustavljanje iseljavanja i podizanje nataliteta.

U protivnom, tri gore navedena osnovna razloga - progon, denatalitet, novo iseljavanje - posebice ako djeluju istodobno kao u ovom slu?aju, uasno su razorni. Jednako vano je stvaranje ozra?ja sigurnosti svake vrste u BiH, kako za pojedince tako za etni?ke identitete.

U okviru toga, posebice bi bilo korisno podizanje politi?ke i pravne sigurnosti koja ?e pogodovati gospodarskom razvitku. Uza sve to, bez gospodarskoga razvitka gotovo je nemogu?e zaustaviti iseljavanje, a i podi?i natalitet.

Osnaivanje svijesti

No u stanju, u kakvu se nalaze, u svom budu?em politi?kom i gospodarskom organiziranju Hrvati iz BiH morali bi ubrzano u?iti tako?er od idovskoga iskustva i modela organiziranja, provjerenoga i dokazanog na raznim stranama po svijetu u obrani interesa svoga naroda, posebice u krajevima gdje pripadnici toga naroda ive u stanju drutvene manjine. Na lokalnoj razini stalno treba osnaivati ustanove nacionalne kulture i znanosti: sveu?ilita, drutva, akademije, kazalita, medije, banke podataka itd.

Od velike koristi bili bi: definiranje op?ih interesa naroda koje ?e svi promovirati i zastupati, demokratizacija politi?koga djelovanja stranaka kroz ?uvanje zajednitva naroda, ja?anje vjerodostojnosti Crkve kroz utvr?ivanje njezina unutarnjeg jedinstva, a na iroj razini odravanje dobrih veza s Hrvatskom i svjetskim sreditima mo?i.

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